: In democracies, leaders rely on a large coalition. Economic pain felt by the broader public directly threatens the leader's support base, making them more likely to concede.
Autocratic leaders benefit from the scarcity created by sanctions to reward loyalists. 2007. An Institutional Theory of Sanctions Onse...
: Nondemocratic leaders have smaller coalitions and can use the rents (extra resources) created by economic restrictions to buy off their core supporters, often making them more secure rather than less. Onset and Initiation : In democracies, leaders rely on a large coalition
Democracies are more frequent senders and tend to target those most vulnerable to economic pressure. : In democracies
Beyond success rates, the paper explores why certain states are targeted in the first place: